Weekly Market Brief #1 — Softest CPI of the year, but no rate cut soon

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Weekly Market Brief

The week in rates, lenders and lending policy — translated into plain English for home owners, buyers and investors — wherever you are in Australia.

EDITION 01 · WEEK ENDING SUNDAY 30 AUGUST 2026

The numbers that matter

Your one-glance snapshot as at Monday 31 August 2026.

RBA cash rate
4.35%
Held — last moved 11 August
Annual inflation
3.5%
July CPI — softest reading of the year
Sharpest fixed cut
−1.15%
Macquarie, on selected fixed terms
Cashback trend
−8%
Refi cashbacks thinned since February

This week in 60 seconds

Four things that happened, and why they touch your mortgage.

  • The Reserve Bank held the cash rate at 4.35%. Last moved 11 August, and the board showed no hurry — the question isn’t whether rates are coming down soon, it’s how long the current settings stay put.
  • Inflation printed its softest reading of the year. Annual CPI came in at 3.5% for July — moving the right way, but the market still doesn’t expect a cut before late 2027.
  • Lenders kept sharpening fixed rates. Macquarie led the week, cutting selected fixed rates by up to 1.15% — a sign lenders are still fighting hard for new business even with the RBA on hold.
  • Refinance cashbacks are quietly thinning. Average offers have drifted about 8% lower since February. If a cashback is part of your refinance maths, don’t assume this month’s offer is still there in spring.

What it means for you

Where you sit decides what this week’s news means for your hip pocket.

🏦 On a variable rate

Soft inflation isn’t a cut. If your rate was set a year or more ago, there’s likely a real gap between what you pay and what new customers are offered. A 15-minute check against 40+ lenders tells you where you stand.

⏳ Fixed rate expiring

Fixed specials are improving — Macquarie’s 1.15% cut shows lenders want your business at the moment your term ends. Get quotes before you revert onto a standard variable.

🔄 Thinking of refinancing

Cashbacks have thinned ~8% since February — the free-money window is narrowing. The rate itself matters more than the sweetener; compare both before you switch.

Smart moves this week

Four things worth doing while lenders compete for new business.

  1. Find your current interest rate — it’s on your loan statement or app. That number decides everything else.
  2. Compare it against the best of market this week — lenders are cutting, so the gap may be bigger than you think.
  3. If you’re fixed, note your expiry date and revert rate now — don’t let a term lapse onto the default variable.
  4. If a cashback is part of your plan, check the offer’s end date before you commit — they’re getting thinner.

Where rates could head next

What the market priced this week.

Rate cuts
Not before late 2027

Market pricing at publication showed no cut expected before late 2027, despite the soft CPI print.

Lender behaviour
Still competing

Fixed-rate cuts like Macquarie’s show lenders chasing new business — good news for anyone switching or refinancing now.

Translation: don’t plan your loan around a cut that’s years away. Plan around the rate you’re paying today — that’s the only one you can change.

Wondering what your rate should be?

REMC Finance is an AFG award-winning broker comparing 40+ lenders for borrowers Australia-wide. Contact me by phone, text or email, or submit an enquiry form — for a free, no-obligation rate health check. Or I can come to you — by phone, video or in person.

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